In observance of the Christmas Day federal holiday, the New York Stock Exchange and Capital Group’s U.S. offices will close early on Tuesday, December 24 and will be closed on Wednesday, December 25. On December 24, the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) will close at 1 p.m. (ET) and our service centers will close at 2 p.m. (ET)
TODAY’S CHALLENGE
OUR STRATEGY
*Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics. The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.
OUR TAKE
Income-seeking funds offered higher yields, complemented core (F-2 shares)
AHMFX's tax-equivalent 30-day SEC yields (gross/net) for the F-2 share class at the highest federal tax rate were 6.79%/6.81% as of 11/30/24.
*Tax-equivalent 12-month distribution rate: Highest tax rate assumes the 3.8% Medicare tax and the top federal marginal tax rate for 2024 of 37%. Morningstar Intermediate Core Bond and Morningstar Intermediate Core-Plus Bond are category averages. Source: Morningstar. Bloomberg.
Monthly allocations since fund inception (March 22, 2019)
Opportunistic includes U.S. Treasuries, municipal bonds, noncorporate credit and other debt instruments. Securitized includes financial securities that are created by securitizing individual loans (debt). Source: Capital Group. Data as of 9/30/24 Investment grade (BBB/Baa and above).
Securitized
Our largest overweight remains securitized credit, diversified across conduit and single-asset/single-borrower CMBS. Meanwhile, our largest asset-backed securities positions include subprime autos and the car rental subsector. In total, our securitized credit and investment-grade corporate positions account for close to 50% of the total portfolio. In our view, this highlights the value of the higher quality segments of the securitized credit and corporate sectors relative to higher yielding sectors.
Investment-grade credit
The portfolio holds a modest overweight to investment-grade corporates. We believe that investment-grade corporate valuations are attractive relative to high-yield corporates. Strong fundamentals and demand for higher quality corporates at current all-in yields support current valuations.
High yield
Based on our relative valuation assessment, the portfolio maintains an underweight to high-yield corporates. However, our forecast for high-yield fundamentals continues to be favorable, even in an environment where sales and EBITA growth remain positive, yet at a slower rate. Future default projections remain low after defaults reached their highest point in 2023, according to JP Morgan. Additionally, expected interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve have created a favorable backdrop for the sector.
Emerging markets
The portfolio maintains a modest underweight to emerging markets debt (EMD) as we continue to believe that the recent easing in U.S. monetary policy has improved the sector’s outlook. On a relative value basis, the portfolio slightly favors below-investment-grade (BB/Ba and below) sovereign bonds over higher quality EMD sovereigns and comparable high-yield corporates. While the portfolio maintains a position in select investment-grade sovereign bonds, the sector has recently reached its tightest spread levels year-to-date.
Weightings are relative to the American Funds Multi-Sector Income Fund Custom Index. As of 9/30/24.
Source: Capital Group. As of 9/30/24.
Industries shown below are among the fund's notable overweights and underweights relative to the index
Sources: Capital Group, Bloomberg. Data as of 9/30/24.
Energy
The sector's credit quality and cash flow have improved following two recent default cycles in 2015 and 2020. Fundamentals remain attractive against a backdrop of continued domestic and global economic growth.
Brokerage, asset managers & exchanges
Financial advisory platforms are growing via consolidation and should benefit from higher interest rates. Investments across the sector have produced an attractive level of cash flow despite recent concerns about cash sweep considerations.
Consumer cyclical
Although the fund remains broadly underweight the sector, we maintain idiosyncratic positions in retailers, gaming and leisure. These investments skew toward higher quality issues within these subsectors.
Capital goods
The fundamental outlook is stable across industries like diversified manufacturing. The largest underweight within the sector comes from building materials, which has been the most impacted by decreasing home sales in recent years.
Weightings are relative to the Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield 2% Issuer Capped Index as of 9/30/24.
Historically, many fixed income sectors have produced above-average returns following the beginning of a rate-cutting cycle. With the Fed likely to cuts rates in December 2024 and in 2025, we believe income-oriented sectors can effectively complement a core bond allocation.
In our view, high yield, emerging markets bonds, investment-grade corporates and other sectors can potentially enable income investors to achieve long-term excess returns even as interest rates fall.
Investments in higher income bonds in addition to dividend-paying stocks can help income-seeking investors fund a longer retirement. Higher income bonds include investment-grade and high-yield corporates, emerging markets and securitized. In addition to diversification, most of these bonds offer steady coupon payments. However, they also carry the risk of defaulting on their obligations.
Depending on their circumstances, income-seeking investors may want to consider allocating a portion of their investments to these riskier assets.
Both the quality and variety of high-yield companies have improved since the boom-and-bust periods of the 1980s. As of year-end 2023, the highest rated high-yield issuers (BB+) accounted for roughly half of the U.S. high-yield bond sector.
The default rate at year-end 2023 was 2.8%, versus a historical average of around 3.4%. It peaked at 6.2% during the pandemic. Adding high yield to a core bond portfolio can help investors who are willing to take a little more risk in seeking their income goals.
Emerging markets bonds can offer high income with currency and geographic diversity.
Many emerging markets sovereign bonds are investment-grade-rated, and the asset class comprises some of the fastest growing economies in the world. Idiosyncratic and geopolitical risks tied to emerging markets are real, and a capable asset manager with risk-control processes in place is paramount.
Investors across multiple tax brackets can benefit from allocations to municipal bonds. Munis are typically exempt from federal taxes, and sometimes state and local taxes, which means investors can keep more of their interest income.
Beyond tax advantages, munis are lower risk compared to high-yield bonds and equities. They can also serve to diversify your portfolio.
4. Certain share classes were offered after the inception dates of some funds. Results for these shares prior to the dates of first sale are hypothetical based on the original share class results without a sales charge, adjusted for typical estimated expenses.
Results for certain funds with an inception date after the share class inception also include hypothetical returns because those funds' shares sold after the funds' date of first offering. View dates of first sale and specific expense adjustment information.
Duration indicates a bond fund’s sensitivity to interest rates. Higher duration indicates more sensitivity.
Sharpe ratio uses standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. The higher the number, the better the portfolio's historical risk-adjusted performance.
Annualized standard deviation (based on monthly returns) is a common measure of absolute volatility that tells how returns over time have varied from the mean. A lower number signifies lower volatility.
Correlation to S&P 500 is a measurement of how returns for the fund and S&P 500 move in relation to each other.
Bloomberg U.S. Corporate Investment Grade Index represents the universe of investment grade, publicly issued U.S. corporate and specified foreign debentures and secured notes that meet the specified maturity, liquidity, and quality requirements. This index is unmanaged, and its results include reinvested distributions but do not reflect the effect of sales charges, commissions, account fees, expenses or U.S. federal income taxes.
Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield 2% Issuer Capped Index covers the universe of fixed-rate, non-investment-grade debt. The index limits the maximum exposure of any one issuer to 2%. This index is unmanaged, and its results include reinvested distributions but do not reflect the effect of sales charges, commissions, account fees, expenses or U.S. federal income taxes.
American Funds Multi-Sector Income Fund Custom Index comprises: 45% Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield 2% Issuer Capped Index, 30% Bloomberg U.S. Corporate Investment Grade Index, 15% J.P. Morgan EMBI Global Diversified Index, 8% Bloomberg CMBS Ex AAA Index, 2% Bloomberg ABS Ex AAA Index and blends the respective indices by weighting their cumulative total returns according to the weights described. This assumes the blend is rebalanced monthly.
J.P. Morgan Emerging Market Bond Index (EMBI) Global Diversified is a uniquely weighted emerging market debt benchmark that tracks total returns for U.S. dollar-denominated bonds issued by emerging market sovereign and quasi-sovereign entities. This index is unmanaged, and its results include reinvested dividends and/or distributions but do not reflect the effect of account fees, expenses or U.S. federal income taxes.
J.P. Morgan CEMBI Broad Diversified Index tracks the performance of US dollar-denominated bonds issued by emerging market corporate entities.
JP Morgan Government Bond Index – Emerging Markets Global Diversified covers the universe of regularly traded, liquid fixed-rate, domestic currency emerging market government bonds to which international investors can gain exposure. This index is unmanaged, and its results include reinvested dividends and/or distributions but do not reflect the effect of account fees, expenses or U.S. federal income taxes.
Bloomberg CMBS Ex AAA Index: tracks investment-grade (Baa3/BBB- or higher, excluding Aaa/AAA) commercial mortgage backed securities that are included in the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Index. These securities have a minimum life of at least one year and must be fixed-rated weighted average coupon or capped weighted average coupon securities.
Bloomberg ABS Ex AAA Index: covers fixed-rated investment-grade (Baa3/BBB- or higher, excluding Aaa/AAA) asset backed securities that are included in the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Index. The index has three subsectors, which includes credit and charge cards, autos, and utility. These securities are ERISA-eligible and must have an average life of at least one year and must be senior class, tranche B or C of the deal.
The after-tax (or tax-equivalent) yield of a municipal bond investment is the yield a taxable bond would have to offer to equal the same amount as the tax-exempt bond. Highest tax rate assumes the 3.8% Medicare tax and the top federal marginal tax rate for 2024 of 27%.