Capital IdeasTM
Investment insights from Capital Group
Fixed Income
Quarterly macro and market insights from Capital Group’s fixed income team
The statements expressed represent perspectives from Capital Fixed Income Investors, as at 30 June 2024. The views of individual portfolio managers and analysts may differ. © 2024 Capital Group. All rights reserved. Data as at 30 June 2024, and attributed to Capital Group / Bloomberg Index Services Ltd, unless otherwise stated.
Capturing attractive yields amid shifting central bank actions
- The US economy remained resilient during the second quarter even as it showed signs of slowing. Inflation moderated, though progress fell short of expectations.
- A data-dependent Federal Reserve (Fed) pushed out its forecast for lowering interest rates as it reduced the number of expected rate cuts in 2024.
- Global growth has diverged, and we expect this trend to continue.
- As inflation moderates globally, some central banks have begun cutting rates.
- Resilient growth in the US should be favourable for risk assets, and a soft-landing scenario may support current valuations.
- Our highest conviction ideas call for a steepening of the yield curve and positions in agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and credit sectors.
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Statements attributed to an individual represent the opinions of that individual as of the date published and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Capital Group or its affiliates. All information is as at the date indicated unless otherwise stated. Some information may have been obtained from third parties, and as such the reliability of that information is not guaranteed.
Capital Group manages equity assets through three investment groups. These groups make investment and proxy voting decisions independently. Fixed income investment professionals provide fixed income research and investment management across the Capital organization; however, for securities with equity characteristics, they act solely on behalf of one of the three equity investment groups.